FBI
The Wisdom of CrowdsThe Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) is presented as a domestic law-enforcement agency whose organizational separation from the wider U.S. intelligence community contributed to failures of information sharing before the September 11 attacks. The book uses the FBI to illustrate a distinction central to its argument: decentralization can preserve specialized knowledge, but without ways to connect and aggregate what separate units know, it can obstruct collective judgment.
Place in the Intelligence System
After Congress created the Central Intelligence Agency in 1947, U.S. intelligence did not become the unified system its advocates had envisioned. The intelligence community instead developed into a collection of agencies with overlapping responsibilities, including the CIA, the National Security Agency, the National Imagery and Mapping Agency, the National Reconnaissance Office, the Defense Intelligence Agency, and the intelligence branches of the military services. The CIA director was nominally responsible for the community as a whole but had little practical supervision over those agencies; much of the intelligence budget came through the Department of Defense.
The FBI sat largely outside this arrangement, despite the obvious relevance to foreign intelligence of information about foreign terrorists operating inside the United States. Rather than a central repository combining information and analysis, the system consisted of nearly autonomous organizations pursuing the broad shared purpose of protecting the country in different ways. The FBI’s position thus exemplified a structural separation between domestic law enforcement and intelligence work.
Fragmentation and Information Sharing
The book describes a record of missed warning signs across several attacks: intelligence agencies failed to anticipate the 1993 World Trade Center bombing, the 1998 U.S. embassy bombings in Kenya, the bombing of the USS Cole in Yemen, and the September 11 attacks. The Congressional Joint Inquiry concluded that the intelligence community had failed to recognize the individual and collective significance of information relevant to September 11, and had missed opportunities to disrupt the plot. The point is not that the attacks could necessarily have been predicted in detail, but that information already available might have supported a concrete estimate of the threat.
Senator Richard Shelby singled out the FBI’s decentralized organizational structure, arguing that it left information holdings fragmented into largely independent fiefdoms. His proposed remedy was to abolish those fiefdoms and place an agency above the disputatious bureaucracies, reviving the goal of centralized intelligence associated with William J. Donovan. In this account, the FBI’s internal fragmentation compounded the wider system’s difficulty in getting relevant information to the people who needed it.
Decentralization Without Aggregation
The book does not treat decentralization itself as the cause of the intelligence failures. Separate agencies can specialize, develop expertise, and notice different things; a clue dismissed as irrelevant by one group may become significant when examined by another. The failure was that the system lacked a reliable mechanism to aggregate both information and judgments. It had distinct centers of knowledge, but no effective means of making their combined significance visible.
That distinction complicates Shelby’s call for centralization. A central authority might make information easier to collect, but relying on one agency or a small group to decide what matters risks sacrificing the diversity, independence, and local knowledge that specialization provides. The book’s alternative is aggregation rather than simple concentration of authority: connect what separate organizations know while allowing them to retain their capabilities and autonomy. Linking agency databases is offered as a practical step. The striking example of the gap was that, two years after September 11, the government still lacked a single unified watch list drawing on data from across the intelligence community.
Organizational Lessons
The FBI’s example belongs to a broader account of how organizations process information. Knowledge acquired close to a problem can be difficult to summarize or transmit, yet may be essential to solving it. Good organization therefore has to preserve local expertise while enabling information to travel beyond the unit where it originated. Decentralization increases the amount and variety of knowledge available; without channels for sharing and combining it, however, that knowledge may never become collectively useful.
The book contrasts fragmented bureaucracy with arrangements that give people both room to specialize and ways to coordinate. Its account of the FBI therefore points to neither unqualified central control nor isolation among autonomous units. The challenge is to join the strengths of local judgment to an organization capable of seeing across boundaries—a balance the intelligence system had failed to achieve before September 11.
